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Volume 2, Issue 2, April 2022

Original Research


Analyzing the Early Stage of COVID-19 Transmission in Sri Lanka via a Multi-patch Compartmental Model

Y. Jayathunga . K.K.W.H. Erandi . N.C. Ganegoda . S.S.N. Perera

Research & Development Centre for Mathematical Modelling, Department of Mathematics, University of Colombo, Colombo 03, Sri Lanka , Email: yashika.jayathunga@gmail.com, Research & Development Centre for Mathematical Modelling, Department of Mathematics, University of Colombo, Colombo 03, Sri Lanka, Department of Mathematics, University of Sri Jayewardenepura, Nugegoda, Sri Lanka, Research & Development Centre for Mathematical Modelling, Department of Mathematics, University of Colombo, Colombo 03, Sri Lanka

Received in final form on January 22, 2022

Abstract
The focus of this paper is to model the spread of COVID-19 within a multi-patch environment. The proposed model incorporates the short- term mobility and it is incorporated with the mobility matrix. A SQIHR model including close contact tracing incorporated with human mobility within patches is discussed. Different scenarios of the imposed mobility restrictions are illustrated with the numerical simulations for the early stage of disease spread in Sri Lanka. The spread of the disease from a hot spot to the local areas with no initial disease is numerically illustrated in this paper. Furthermore, the effetiveness of the close contact tracing of an infected patient is also addressed in this paper.


Keywords
Keywords: COVID-19, multi-patch compartmental model, mobility matrix, contact-tracing, mobility restrictions.


Cite This Article
Y. Jayathunga . K.K.W.H. Erandi . N.C. Ganegoda and S.S.N. Perera, Analyzing the Early Stage of COVID-19 Transmission in Sri Lanka via a Multi-patch Compartmental Model, J.InnovationSciencesandSustainableTechnologies,2(2)(2022),49-55. https://doie.org/10.0608/JISST.2022733901


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